Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.001409 0.001572 0.001734 0.001908 0.002089 0.002270 0.002466
2025-10-05 0.001158 0.001394 0.001636 0.001902 0.002184 0.002472 0.002788
2025-10-12 0.000966 0.001258 0.001565 0.001910 0.002281 0.002666 0.003093
2025-10-19 0.000790 0.001121 0.001480 0.001890 0.002340 0.002813 0.003344
2025-10-26 0.000641 0.001000 0.001402 0.001871 0.002393 0.002948 0.003575
2025-11-02 0.000515 0.000894 0.001332 0.001853 0.002441 0.003072 0.003791
2025-11-09 0.000413 0.000806 0.001275 0.001844 0.002494 0.003198 0.004006
2025-11-16 0.000331 0.000734 0.001231 0.001844 0.002554 0.003328 0.004222
2025-11-23 0.000262 0.000670 0.001191 0.001846 0.002612 0.003454 0.004430
2025-11-30 0.000229 0.000652 0.001206 0.001911 0.002740 0.003655 0.004720
2025-12-07 0.000174 0.000593 0.001165 0.001905 0.002784 0.003762 0.004903
2025-12-14 0.000117 0.000521 0.001103 0.001871 0.002794 0.003826 0.005037
2025-12-21 0.000076 0.000476 0.001088 0.001913 0.002913 0.004039 0.005367
2025-12-28 0.000034 0.000413 0.001044 0.001917 0.002989 0.004206 0.005648
2026-01-04 0.000008 0.000359 0.001008 0.001930 0.003077 0.004386 0.005943
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000296 0.000953 0.001915 0.003128 0.004523 0.006191
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000239 0.000899 0.001899 0.003175 0.004654 0.006430
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000188 0.000848 0.001882 0.003220 0.004780 0.006663
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000147 0.000806 0.001874 0.003273 0.004916 0.006904
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000114 0.000771 0.001875 0.003336 0.005060 0.007154
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000086 0.000740 0.001877 0.003399 0.005204 0.007403
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000079 0.000753 0.001942 0.003541 0.005440 0.007755
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000054 0.000719 0.001937 0.003591 0.005566 0.007981